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Recent industry reports indicate that, although global ransomware activity decreased slightly toward the end of 2025, the overall risk to organizations has not substantially declined. Attackers used the breathing room created by stronger backups and incident response capabilities to refine their operations, focusing on stealth, precision, and higher leverage over fewer but more lucrative victims.
Threat intelligence research highlights a continued shift toward sectors where operational disruption or data exposure creates outsized pressure: manufacturing, critical infrastructure, healthcare, and other high‑value environments. At the same time, double- and multi-extortion models, which combine encryption, data theft, and public or private pressure campaigns, have become standard in many ransomware and extortion operations.
Encryption‑less, “data‑only” extortion has also surged, with criminal groups quietly exfiltrating sensitive information and using the threat of disclosure as their primary leverage, often without ever deploying file‑encrypting malware. These operations often rely on exploiting software vulnerabilities and quietly moving data out of cloud and on‑prem environments; they often succeed even when an organization’s backups and business continuity plans are robust enough to withstand classic ransomware events.
Against this backdrop, online criminals are increasingly pairing up modern extortion strategies with an older, proven entry method: spear phishing. Targeted, well‑researched emails and messages give adversaries a reliable path into the specific people, accounts, and systems that matter most, laying the groundwork for business email compromise, credential theft, data‑only extortion, and full‑scale ransomware incidents.
Historically, many ransomware and phishing campaigns followed a high‑volume, “spray‑and‑pray” model, casting a wide net across as many organizations and inboxes as possible. As more victims refuse to pay and more organizations improve backup and recovery, that model has become less profitable. In response, extortion groups have evolved into more selective, business‑like operations that invest in reconnaissance, targeting, and relationship‑driven pressure.
Today, threat actors are prioritizing:
In this precision model, spear phishing becomes a primary tool: one successful targeted message can open the door to a high‑value email account, cloud console, or file repository that powers multi‑million‑dollar ransomware extortion or silent, data exfiltrated blackmail.
Spear phishing is defined as a targeted form of online fraud in which criminals send convincing, customized messages to specific individuals or organizations to steal credentials, deliver malware, or divert funds. Unlike generic phishing campaigns that blast the same message to thousands of recipients, spear phishing attacks are designed around a particular person, role, or company.
Attackers routinely harvest details from:
Armed with this reconnaissance, criminals impersonate executives, vendors, IT support, HR/payroll, or trusted third parties and reference real projects, colleagues, or current events to lower suspicion. Messages often create a sense of urgency (“wire this today,” “approve this vendor change now”) or confidentiality (“do not loop in anyone else”) to steer the target into bypassing normal policies and procedures.
The result is a high return on investment: a single successful spear phishing email can lead to:
Because these campaigns target fewer people with more convincing messages, traditional spam filters and basic awareness training are often not enough on their own.
Organizations can significantly reduce risk by equipping employees, especially high‑value roles, with a simple, repeatable checklist. Common warning signs include:
Any one of these indicators should trigger verification through a known, trusted channel—such as calling the requester on a published phone number or starting a new email thread to a verified address, before acting.
Defending against spear phishing is not only a user education problem; it's a strategic risk management issue that spans governance, technology, and human behavior. A pragmatic roadmap aligned with leading frameworks (NIST CSF, CIS Controls, ISO 27001) should include:
JANUS Associates provides end‑to‑end cybersecurity consulting to help organizations design, implement, and maintain this multi‑layered defense, including risk assessments, compliance support, technical controls, and response capabilities tightly aligned to your sector, size, and risk appetite.
As ransomware and extortion models evolve, particularly with the growth of data‑only operations, spear phishing will remain one of the most reliable ways for attackers to go directly after the individuals who can move money, approve access, or expose sensitive data. Organizations that treat spear phishing purely as a training issue miss the bigger picture: this is a strategic business risk that demands the same rigor, governance, and investment as any other critical vulnerability.
By combining governance‑driven IT risk assessment, layered technical controls, role‑aware training, continuous testing, and mature incident response, enterprises can materially reduce the likelihood that a single malicious email becomes a high‑impact extortion event. JANUS Associates works with clients across all business sectors including small, mid, and enterprise sized organizations to build, optimize, and sustain a multitiered defense-in depth strategy, helping security and risk leaders translate well founded concerns into measurable resilience.
If you are ready to take a more strategic approach to spear phishing and extortion risk, contact JANUS Associates for a tailored assessment and a multi‑layered defense strategy that fits your business, regulatory, and operational realities.